Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.000108 0.000119 0.000131 0.000144 0.000159 0.000175 0.000193
2026-01-04 0.000088 0.000104 0.000123 0.000146 0.000174 0.000206 0.000248
2026-01-11 0.000074 0.000092 0.000115 0.000144 0.000182 0.000229 0.000293
2026-01-18 0.000065 0.000085 0.000110 0.000145 0.000191 0.000253 0.000342
2026-01-25 0.000058 0.000078 0.000104 0.000142 0.000196 0.000271 0.000383
2026-02-01 0.000052 0.000073 0.000101 0.000142 0.000203 0.000291 0.000429
2026-02-08 0.000047 0.000067 0.000096 0.000140 0.000206 0.000306 0.000469
2026-02-15 0.000043 0.000063 0.000091 0.000137 0.000208 0.000318 0.000505
2026-02-22 0.000040 0.000060 0.000090 0.000138 0.000216 0.000340 0.000560
2026-03-01 0.000038 0.000058 0.000089 0.000140 0.000226 0.000367 0.000624
2026-03-08 0.000035 0.000054 0.000085 0.000137 0.000226 0.000377 0.000660
2026-03-15 0.000032 0.000051 0.000080 0.000132 0.000223 0.000381 0.000688
2026-03-22 0.000030 0.000049 0.000079 0.000133 0.000231 0.000406 0.000756
2026-03-29 0.000028 0.000047 0.000078 0.000134 0.000239 0.000432 0.000833
2026-04-05 0.000026 0.000045 0.000075 0.000133 0.000242 0.000448 0.000891
2026-04-12 0.000025 0.000043 0.000074 0.000133 0.000249 0.000474 0.000972
2026-04-19 0.000023 0.000041 0.000071 0.000131 0.000250 0.000489 0.001033
2026-04-26 0.000022 0.000039 0.000070 0.000131 0.000256 0.000512 0.001114
2026-05-03 0.000021 0.000037 0.000067 0.000129 0.000257 0.000525 0.001175
2026-05-10 0.000019 0.000035 0.000065 0.000126 0.000256 0.000535 0.001230
2026-05-17 0.000019 0.000034 0.000064 0.000127 0.000264 0.000565 0.001336
2026-05-24 0.000018 0.000034 0.000064 0.000129 0.000274 0.000602 0.001464
2026-05-31 0.000017 0.000032 0.000062 0.000126 0.000272 0.000610 0.001521